Donald Trump leads the President Joe Biden in five swing states despite legal challenges against the former president, poll results released Tuesday and Wednesday showed.
What happened: An Emerson College Polling and The Hill combined survey of respondents in the five swing states of Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina, Nevada and Arizona showed a plurality of voters supporting him, although he did not have an outright majority in any of them. states. The survey was conducted between February 14 and 16 in the first three states and between February 16 and February 19 in the last two states.
Pennsylvania: 45% of Pennsylvania voters support Trump in a possible 2024 presidential election, while 43% support Biden. 12 percent of voters said they were undecided. Comparisons with January polls show Trump’s support is down from 48% in January, while Biden’s is up from 41%.
“Pennsylvania independents split Biden over Trump 41% to 35%” Spencer Kimball, said the executive director of Emerson College Polling.
Agriculture: 48% of Georgia voters support Trump in 2024, while 42% support Biden. 11% said they were undecided. Since the Georgia tracking survey in January, Trump’s support has held at 48%, while Biden’s support has increased by one point.
“Biden leads among black voters, 65 percent to 20 percent, with 16 percent undecided, while Trump leads among white voters, 63 percent to 30 percent, with 7 percent undecided,” Kimball said.
Independent voters said they favor Biden more than Trump, with the margin 44% to 39% in favor of the former. 18% of independents are undecided.
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North Carolina: In the state of North Carolina, 47% of voters support Trump, 44% favor Biden and 10% remain undecided. More independents in the state prefer Trump over Biden, with the former chosen by 43% of respondents and the latter by 40% of voters.
Nevada: Forty-six percent of Nevada voters support Trump and 40 percent support Biden in a 2024 presidential race, according to a new Emerson College Polling/KLAS-TV/The Hill poll. 14 percent said they are undecided. Biden’s support is down four points from the January polls, and Trump’s support is down one point.
61% of voters said Biden’s age raised serious doubts in their minds about voting for him, while 53% said Trump’s criminal charges raised doubts in their minds about voting for him. By the way, Trump took almost all the votes in the Republican caucuses held in the state in mid-February. In the Democratic primary held in Nevada, Biden secured 89.4% of the vote.
Arizona: In Arizona, 46% support Trump and 43% support Biden in a 2024 rematch, while 12% said they were undecided. Biden’s standing among Arizona voters improved by one point from January, while Trump’s standing remained essentially unchanged.
“Independent voters narrowly split for Biden, 40 percent to 38 percent,” Kimball said, adding that another “key group that brought Biden to victory in Arizona in 2020 was the female vote, which is now split between Trump and Biden with 44% each. “
Why it’s important: Swing states are states that are too close to call. These states have previously swung between Republicans and Democrats in recent years and are often referred to as “battleground states,” as candidates typically redouble campaign efforts there to gain an advantage.
Super Tuesday, when most states hold primaries and general elections, is on March 5 this year. Includes elections in Alabama, Arkansas, Alaska, California, Colorado, Iowa, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont and Virginia.
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